Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.003632 0.003813 0.003999 0.004203 0.004422 0.004650 0.004906
2025-07-27 0.003289 0.003556 0.003840 0.004166 0.004532 0.004931 0.005401
2025-08-03 0.003074 0.003388 0.003733 0.004139 0.004609 0.005139 0.005785
2025-08-10 0.002907 0.003253 0.003640 0.004108 0.004663 0.005305 0.006113
2025-08-17 0.002826 0.003205 0.003639 0.004173 0.004823 0.005594 0.006592
2025-08-24 0.002714 0.003114 0.003577 0.004159 0.004879 0.005754 0.006915
2025-08-31 0.002610 0.003024 0.003510 0.004131 0.004914 0.005883 0.007199
2025-09-07 0.002504 0.002927 0.003429 0.004079 0.004912 0.005961 0.007416
2025-09-14 0.002407 0.002835 0.003350 0.004024 0.004900 0.006023 0.007610
2025-09-21 0.002347 0.002787 0.003321 0.004030 0.004965 0.006183 0.007942
2025-09-28 0.002235 0.002668 0.003199 0.003910 0.004858 0.006110 0.007943
2025-10-05 0.002182 0.002622 0.003167 0.003906 0.004904 0.006242 0.008238
2025-10-12 0.002156 0.002610 0.003179 0.003959 0.005030 0.006490 0.008716
2025-10-19 0.002093 0.002550 0.003125 0.003924 0.005032 0.006564 0.008943
2025-10-26 0.002039 0.002498 0.003082 0.003899 0.005046 0.006656 0.009197
2025-11-02 0.001987 0.002447 0.003036 0.003870 0.005052 0.006734 0.009434
2025-11-09 0.001972 0.002445 0.003056 0.003930 0.005188 0.007007 0.009989
2025-11-16 0.001930 0.002405 0.003024 0.003917 0.005215 0.007117 0.010290
2025-11-23 0.001887 0.002361 0.002985 0.003891 0.005223 0.007199 0.010547
2025-11-30 0.001837 0.002308 0.002932 0.003843 0.005196 0.007223 0.010709
2025-12-07 0.001788 0.002256 0.002877 0.003793 0.005162 0.007235 0.010849
2025-12-14 0.001762 0.002232 0.002862 0.003798 0.005211 0.007380 0.011224
2025-12-21 0.001696 0.002155 0.002770 0.003687 0.005081 0.007233 0.011080